In baseball, 70-80% probability fight Choi Won-young → replacement of Song Chan, Moon Hyun-bin skipping and Noh Si-hwan and Yeom Kyung-yeop revealed probability theory
Jun 15, 2025
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Coach Yeom said, "(Choi) Won-young's shoulder is not bad, but (Song) Chan-ui's accuracy is better," regarding the decision to replace the left fielder at the end of the 11th inning with 2 outs and 2nd base defense before the Hanwha match at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 15th."In fact, isn't baseball the result theory?" he said with a smile. Then "If Chan-ui is nervous, he can throw it even though it's strict." However, since the coach is fighting for probability, fortunately, the coaches prepared well and Chan-ui threw it exactly as he thought. I'm grateful for it." He praised his calm throw home in an urgent situation.
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Hanwha's last attack at the bottom of the 11th inning with two outs and a runner on second base. Veteran Lee Jae-won entered the batter's box.
After the first strike, the LG bench replaced the left field. Both teams have already exhausted their fielder entries in the regular innings amid all-out war. There was only one card left. It was Song Chan-ui, who came out as a pinch hitter and was in the designated hitter position. Instead of Choi Won-young, he was put in left field to prepare for a finishing hit.
The ubiquity of the LG bench was a success.
Lee Jae-won pulled the fourth high curve in 2B1S and dropped it in front of left field. Second baseman An Chi-hong rushed home with all his might following the third base coach's signature. However, Song Chan's throw home defense was accurately and quickly delivered to catcher Park Dong-won.
An Chi-hong stands without even sliding and tags out. As it was, the game was over. It was the moment when the all-out match between the first and second places, which lasted until the end of the 11th inning, ended with a 2-2 draw.
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After one out, Lee Do-yoon got on base with a superior double. One out and second base. No. 3 Moon Hyun-bin was given an intentional four-ball order.
One out, first and second base. It was the winning pitcher who threw for No. 4 Roh Si-hwan, who hit his first at-bat double. He replaced the pitcher from Kim Young-woo to Park Myung-geun, and induced a double play in front of the shortstop with a changeup. The moment you emerge from the brink of finishing defeat.
Coach Yeom Kyung-yeop said, `The position of coach is to keep making choices in the fight against probability. What would have happened if he had been hit by No. 4 Noh Si-hwan, who skipped Moon Hyun-min and did not have a bad hitting sense. The coach said, "The data, the flow of the game, the condition of the opponent's card and my card at the moment, I'm going to make a decision with these three." "Baseball is a game without 100% in the end," he said. "In the end, the coach makes a choice with a 60% to 70% probability, but in the case of yesterday, thankfully, it was able to draw because the players were good and the coaches prepared well."
LG, which maintained its first place by a half-game due to a draw, has one draw and four losses without a win in five extended games this season.
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This article was translated by Naver AI translator.