In baseball, 70-80% probability fight Choi Won-young → replacement of Song Chan, Moon Hyun-bin skipping and Noh Si-hwan and Yeom Kyung-yeop revealed probability theory

Jun 15, 2025

In baseball, 70-80% probability fight Choi Won-young → replacement of Song Chan, Moon Hyun-bin skipping and Noh Si-hwan and Yeom Kyung-yeop revealed probability theory
The match between Hanwha and LG at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 14th. LG manager Yeom Kyung-yeop is answering reporters' questions in the dugout. Daejeon = Song Jeong-heon Reporter's songs@sportschosun.com/2025.06.14/



In baseball, 70-80% probability fight Choi Won-young → replacement of Song Chan, Moon Hyun-bin skipping and Noh Si-hwan and Yeom Kyung-yeop revealed probability theory
KBO League Lotte and LG match to be held at Sajik Baseball Stadium in Busan on the 21st. LG's Song Chan-ui, who is doing batting training. Busan = Song Jeong-heon Reporter's songs@sportschosun.com/2025.05.21/
LG manager Yeom Kyung-yeop expressed his position on the finishing bodhisattva process.

Coach Yeom said, "(Choi) Won-young's shoulder is not bad, but (Song) Chan-ui's accuracy is better," regarding the decision to replace the left fielder at the end of the 11th inning with 2 outs and 2nd base defense before the Hanwha match at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 15th."In fact, isn't baseball the result theory?" he said with a smile. Then "If Chan-ui is nervous, he can throw it even though it's strict." However, since the coach is fighting for probability, fortunately, the coaches prepared well and Chan-ui threw it exactly as he thought. I'm grateful for it." He praised his calm throw home in an urgent situation.

In baseball, 70-80% probability fight Choi Won-young → replacement of Song Chan, Moon Hyun-bin skipping and Noh Si-hwan and Yeom Kyung-yeop revealed probability theory
The match between Hanwha and LG held at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 14th. After 11 extra innings, they drew 2 to 2. Second base with two outs in the 11th inning. Ahn Chi-hong, who is out at home and looks despondent when Lee Jae-won hits. Daejeon = Song Jeong-heon Reporter's songs@sportschosun.com/2025.06.14/
The Hanwha-LG match took place at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 14th.




Hanwha's last attack at the bottom of the 11th inning with two outs and a runner on second base. Veteran Lee Jae-won entered the batter's box.

After the first strike, the LG bench replaced the left field. Both teams have already exhausted their fielder entries in the regular innings amid all-out war. There was only one card left. It was Song Chan-ui, who came out as a pinch hitter and was in the designated hitter position. Instead of Choi Won-young, he was put in left field to prepare for a finishing hit.

The ubiquity of the LG bench was a success.




Lee Jae-won pulled the fourth high curve in 2B1S and dropped it in front of left field. Second baseman An Chi-hong rushed home with all his might following the third base coach's signature. However, Song Chan's throw home defense was accurately and quickly delivered to catcher Park Dong-won.

An Chi-hong stands without even sliding and tags out. As it was, the game was over. It was the moment when the all-out match between the first and second places, which lasted until the end of the 11th inning, ended with a 2-2 draw.
In baseball, 70-80% probability fight Choi Won-young → replacement of Song Chan, Moon Hyun-bin skipping and Noh Si-hwan and Yeom Kyung-yeop revealed probability theory
The game between the Hanwha Eagles and the Doosan Bears at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 12th. In the bottom of the first inning, Hanwha Noh Si-hwan, with two outs and a runner on the first base, is catching his breath after hitting a tying two-run shot. Daejeon = Reporter Park Jae-man pjm@sportschosun.com /2025.06.12/
LG's bench's determination and success were also in the bottom of the 10th inning, when the score was 2-2.

After one out, Lee Do-yoon got on base with a superior double. One out and second base. No. 3 Moon Hyun-bin was given an intentional four-ball order.




One out, first and second base. It was the winning pitcher who threw for No. 4 Roh Si-hwan, who hit his first at-bat double. He replaced the pitcher from Kim Young-woo to Park Myung-geun, and induced a double play in front of the shortstop with a changeup. The moment you emerge from the brink of finishing defeat.

Coach Yeom Kyung-yeop said, `The position of coach is to keep making choices in the fight against probability. What would have happened if he had been hit by No. 4 Noh Si-hwan, who skipped Moon Hyun-min and did not have a bad hitting sense. The coach said, "The data, the flow of the game, the condition of the opponent's card and my card at the moment, I'm going to make a decision with these three." "Baseball is a game without 100% in the end," he said. "In the end, the coach makes a choice with a 60% to 70% probability, but in the case of yesterday, thankfully, it was able to draw because the players were good and the coaches prepared well."

LG, which maintained its first place by a half-game due to a draw, has one draw and four losses without a win in five extended games this season.

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This article was translated by Naver AI translator.