Coming back to Jersey, only a matter of time, NYY director's conviction, gamblers also turned to MVP probability Jersey>Raleigh. Why?
Aug 12, 2025
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However, it seems reasonable to see Judge as still the most likely AL player. Until recently, gamblers who saw Raleigh as more dominant began to weigh in on Judge again.
According to the AL MVP dividend rate presented by FOX Sports on the 12th (Korea time), Judge is -145 and Raleigh is +110. If you bet $100 on 'Jersey becomes MVP', you'll get about $169 including the bet, and if you bet the same amount on 'Raleigh becomes MVP', you'll get $210 back. This means that the lower the rate of return, the higher the probability of the event occurring.
This dividend rate was at -125 for Raleigh and -110 for Jersey the day before. In a day, Judge was again ranked as the most likely MVP player. Since the game is held every day, the player's performance directly affects the dividend rate.
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Since returning from the IL on the 6th, Judge has a batting average of 0.211 (4 hits in 19 at-bats), two RBIs, two runs scored, and an OPS of 0.558 in six games until the Minnesota game. He didn't add a home run. The last time he hit a home run was a two-run shot to right-center in the top of the sixth inning against the Toronto Blue Jays on the 24th of last month. Since then, he has not been able to operate cannons in seven games and 27 at-bats until that day.
Judge had a season that seemed likely to go down in history for the first two months of this season. He hit .398 with 21 home runs and 50 RBIs in 57 games through the end of May. However, he has a batting average of 0.261, 16 homers and 37 RBIs in 52 games since then. Although it is difficult to say that it is a slump, it cannot be evaluated as an MVP.
Still, Judge is not in normal condition. There are still doubts that there are still elbow discomfort, and the Yankees explained that the elbow issue does not affect Judge's batting.
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Judge is second in the AL, eight behind Raleigh in the home run category, but his score (92), batting average (0.336), on-base percentage (0.444), slugging percentage (0.687), and OPS (1.131) are still first. The RBI was also tied for second place, never far behind. The WAR, which represents player value, is also No. 1 in both leagues in the Baseball League (6.5) and the FanGraphs (7.0). It means that Judge is still the most likely AL MVP.
Yankees manager Aaron Boone is also giving strength to Judge.
Coach Boone said in an interview with local media after the victory over Minnesota that `I don't think it's far before Aaron gets hot again. I think such a day will come soon. It is only a matter of time before he returns to his usual Aaron and leads the team."
Coach Boone then said, `Every batter usually suffers a slump. Besides, he didn't play for 10 days. He must have done a lot of things in hitting during that time. "Now he is getting on base and hitting. It won't take much time to get back on track.
This article was translated by Naver AI translator.