Tottenham humiliation with Son Heung-min leaving, less than 1% chance of winning EPL → lower than Manchester United...Lee Kang-in Kim Min-jae, Seol Young-woo, and Hwang In-beom at the top
Sep 11, 2025
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The International Sports Research Institute (CIES) under the International Football Federation (FIFA) unveiled the prospects for winning 29 leagues on the 10th (Korea time). CIES explained that it calculated a statistical model for the probability of winning by comprehensively considering variables in terms of sports (pass-related data from the opposing side), economy (transfer fees invested in recruiting players), and demographics (players' playing time last season and the level of games they participated in).
In the five European leagues, Lee Kang-in (Paris Saint-Germain, PSG) and Kim Min-jae (Bayern Munich) were expected to lift the trophy once again. PSG, which achieved its first treble (European Champions League, League 1, French Cup) since its foundation last season, has a whopping 73.0% chance of winning.
PSG won four consecutive league games last season. He is trying to win his fifth consecutive title this season. PSG's overwhelming victory was predicted, with the second-place AS Monaco's probability of winning only 7.7%.
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In the EPL, Liverpool had the highest probability of winning two consecutive games. It accounted for 28.9 percent. After Liverpool, Arsenal (18.8%), Chelsea (16.2%), and Manchester City (14.4%) ranked second to fourth. Tottenham, where Son Heung-min (LA FC) left, was ranked 9th, lower than Manchester United (2.6%). However, the probability of winning was less than 1.0%, which was statistically meaningless.
Real Madrid (40.6%) was the first choice in Spain's Primera Liga. He beat Barcelona (29.6%) and Atletico Madrid (22.1%).
In Italy's Serie A, Inter Milan (25.6%) had the highest chance of winning the championship. The competition was expected to be so fierce that Juventus (18.2%), Napoli (17.4%), AS Roma (13.3%) and AC Milan (11.3%) recorded two figures.
Meanwhile, Seol Young-woo's Tsurvena Zvezda had no opponents in Serbia. Zvezda, who is trying to win the Super League for nine consecutive years, has the highest probability of winning 76.2 percent among 29 leagues.
Hwang In-beom (Feyenoord), who is visiting the Eredivisie stage in the Netherlands, was also the closest to the top. Feyenoord had a 28.6% chance of winning, giving him a slight advantage over PSV Eindhoven (25.6%).
This article was translated by Naver AI translator.