The worst day of the storm! There is less than 30% chance of winning Liverpool→The record of the largest expenditure in the transfer market is overshadowed...Second place Arsenal in a bloody competition

Sep 11, 2025

The worst day of the storm! There is less than 30% chance of winning Liverpool→The record of the largest expenditure in the transfer market is overshadowed...Second place Arsenal in a bloody competition



It was predicted that Liverpool's probability of winning the English Premier League (EPL) in the 2025-2026 season was less than 30%. It is an unexpected result as Liverpool has achieved astronomical reinforcement. Many fans expected it to be a more overwhelming probability, but the result was not.

Citing a study by the Football Observer under the Center for International Sports Research (CIES), the BBC reported on the 10th (Korea time) that Liverpool has the highest probability of lifting the trophy again this season with 28.9%.

Liverpool manager Arne Slot put Liverpool as the Premier League champion in the 2024-2025 season. The only competitor was Arsenal, but even that was outscored by a wide margin.




The worst day of the storm! There is less than 30% chance of winning Liverpool→The record of the largest expenditure in the transfer market is overshadowed...Second place Arsenal in a bloody competition
The worst day of the storm! There is less than 30% chance of winning Liverpool→The record of the largest expenditure in the transfer market is overshadowed...Second place Arsenal in a bloody competition
Again this season, Arsenal appear to be the most likely contender.

Arsenal were the second most likely team to win the Premier League at 18.8%. Chelsea (16.2 percent) followed by Manchester City (14.4 percent). Manchester United, the most winning team in the Premier League, has a 2.6% chance of winning the championship.

Liverpool spent 446 million pounds (about 830 billion won) in the transfer market. It is a new record for the most spending in the summer transfer market of the Premier League ever. He raked in all the world-class players such as Florian Birz and Alexander Isaac. Arsenal also recruited big players such as Victor Jockeres, but it is no match for Liverpool. Therefore, Liverpool's less than 30% chance of winning the championship can be a bit of a surprise. The disappointment of Liverpool's leadership is indescribable when they fail to win the championship as much as they invested.




The worst day of the storm! There is less than 30% chance of winning Liverpool→The record of the largest expenditure in the transfer market is overshadowed...Second place Arsenal in a bloody competition
The worst day of the storm! There is less than 30% chance of winning Liverpool→The record of the largest expenditure in the transfer market is overshadowed...Second place Arsenal in a bloody competition
Meanwhile, according to the Football Observer, Celtic have the best chance of winning the Scottish Premiership with 63.3 per cent chance. Rival Rangers had a 28.9% chance.

Real Madrid (40.6%) is the most likely candidate in Spain's La Liga, while Barcelona is only 29.6%.

In the German Bundesliga, Bayern Munich topped the list with 61.4%. The gap with Borussia Dortmund (8.8 percent) was wide.




In Italy's Serie A, Inter Milan (25.6%), Juventus (18.2%), and Napoli (17.4%) have close chances of winning. No matter what team wins, it's not an accident.

In French Ligue 1, Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) is predicted to win 5 consecutive championships at 73.0%.





This article was translated by Naver AI translator.