Tottenham will be ruined without Son Heung-minShock ranking prediction 14th + 2nd division relegation probability 13.7%
Aug 07, 2025
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The soccer statistics media OPTA announced a supercomputer-based ranking prediction ahead of the opening of the English Premier League (EPL) in the upcoming 2025-2026 season on the 6th (Korea time).
First, in the prediction of the winning team, OPTA predicted Liverpool, the defending champion, to lose two consecutive games. Arsenal and Manchester City followed. Then, what happened to Tottenham. The media explained that `Aston Villa and Newcastle United showed almost the same probability of winning the championship at about 5.1%, respectively, while Manchester United (0.6%) and Tottenham (0.3%) are very unlikely to win the championship right from the bottom of last season.'
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Tottenham had a higher chance of relegation than they had of entering fourth place. The combined probability of Tottenham ranking 18th and 20th was 13.7%. Except for the three teams that will be promoted this season and Wolverhampton, who was 16th last season, they were ranked as the most likely to be relegated. Tottenham's expected points were 47.8 points, and the final expected ranking was selected as 14th.
If Tottenham finish the season in 14th place, it will be a ruinous season, unless they win another tournament. Son Heung-min's absence is also a factor that cannot be ignored. Son Heung-min consistently scored more than 15 offensive points in eight seasons except for Tottenham's debut season and last season. In his heyday, the league's offensive point figure was close to 30.
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However, OPTA is 'EPL results are becoming increasingly difficult to predict. For example, who would have expected Manchester United and Tottenham to rank so low last season? Of the 20 teams competing in 10,000 season simulations, 19 have won at least once. In other words, there is also a scenario in which Leeds United manager Daniel Farke lifts the EPL trophy at Elland Road in May. Of course, it's very unlikely, but the fact that it happens itself shows the unpredictability of EPL this season,' he said, arguing that he could never blindly trust the results of the forecast.
This article was translated by Naver AI translator.