If the team wins the first round, it has a 73.2 percent chance of winning the championship. However, Hanwha has a 20 percent chance of winning the championship. Tilted playground from the beginning. Will Hanwha use the 6th miracle?

Oct 26, 2025

2025 KBO League Korean Series Media Day was held at Jamsil Stadium on the 25th. LG manager Yeom Kyung-yeop and Hanwha manager Kim Kyung-moon are taking a commemorative photo. Jamsil = Reporter Park Jae-man pjm@sportschosun.com /2025.10.25/

2025 KBO League Korean Series Media Day was held at Jamsil Stadium on the 25th. Hanwha manager Kim Kyung-moon is answering reporters' questions. Jamsil = Reporter Park Jae-man pjm@sportschosun.com /2025.10.25/

Hanwha advanced to the Korean Series with an 11-2 victory in Game 5 of the PO held at Hanwha Life Ball Park in Daejeon on the 24th. Players sharing their joy after the game. Daejeon = Reporter's wook@sportschosun.com/2025.10.24/

The first round is important in the short term. This is because we have to get a head start. The same goes for the Korean series. In the previous Korean Series, the winning team in the first round has a 73.2 percent chance of winning the championship, 30 out of 41.

The LG Twins and Hanwha Eagles, of course, put forward Anders Tolhurst (LG) and Moon Dong-ju (Hanwha), the most trusted pitchers in the first game, to capture this 73.2 percent winning rate.

However, the Korean series is different from other postseason series such as semi-playoffs and playoffs. The chance of winning the regular league is focused on the winning team. In the 34 Korean Series, which was conducted in the current single-league cascaded postseason, the regular league winner won 29 times, and the playoff winning team won only five times. The regular league winning team's chances of winning the Korean Series are as high as 85.3%. In the semi-playoff, the third-place team's probability of advancing to the playoffs was 51.5% until last year, and in the playoff, the second-place team's probability of advancing to the Korean Series was not very high at 52.9%, but the first-place team's probability of winning the Korean Series was much higher.

The probability changes slightly as the first game is won and lost, but the regular league winning team's probability of winning is the same. When the regular league winning team won even the first game, it took 21 out of 24 Korean Series trophies, and the probability of winning soared to 87.5%. There were only three times when the championship was lost: 1989 (Bingre runner-up, 2nd-place Haitai winner), 2001 (Samsung runner-up, 3rd-place Doosan winner), and 2015 (Samsung runner-up, 3rd-place Doosan winner). Making a miracle of winning the championship at a tremendously disadvantageous time when the playoff winning team lost until the first leg.

There were 10 times when the regular league winning team lost the first game, but it won eight times. 80% chance of winning. Only in 1992 (Bingre runner-up, third-place Lotte winner) and 2018 (Dusan runner-up, second-place SK winner) won the first round and won the championship.

Doosan beat Samsung in Game 5 of the 2015 Korean Series held at Jamsil Baseball Stadium in Seoul on the 31st and won the overall title with 4 wins and 1 loss. As soon as the championship is confirmed, Doosan players are gathering on the ground to cheer.

Jamsil = Reporter Cho Byung-kwan rainmaker@sportschosun.com /2015.10.31/

The game between the SK Wyverns and the Doosan Bears in Game 6 of the 2018 KBO League Korean Series was held at Jamsil Baseball Stadium in Seoul on the 12th. SK closer Kim Kwang-hyun and the players are cheering after confirming the Korean Series title.

Jamsil = Reporter Choi Moon-young deer@sportschosun.com /2018.11.12/

Hanwha manager Kim Kyung-moon has reached the Korean Series three times (2005, 2007, 2008) during Doosan and once (2017) during NC, but has never won a championship. Unfortunately, all of them went to the Korean Series through the semi-playoff or playoffs, not the regular league championship. In the 2007 Korean Series against SK, he won two games first, but then lost four consecutive games, and in 2008, he also lost four consecutive games after winning the first game against SK.

Hanwha, which won the first and last Korean Series in 1999 when it was in the two major leagues, has not won since then. Ryu Hyun-jin's last experience was in third place in 2006, when he joined the Korean Series. He is aiming to win the Korean Series for the first time in 19 years and win for the first time in 26 years, but the probability of winning is only 14.7%. Still, if you win the first game, you will get up to 20%.

In fact, the probability of the playoff winning team winning the first game of the Korean Series is not high. Only 10 out of 34 times, so it was only 29.4 percent.

Hanwha Eagles, who pushed LG to the verge of the top-ranked game in the regular league, is this big in probability from going straight to the Korean Series and going through the playoffs. Cody Ponce, the four-time pitcher who led Hanwha's rise this season, is already talking about returning to the Major League, and fans are saying that he should win this year. Can Hanwha use the sixth miracle.

Coach Kim Kyung-moon said in a media day held on the 25th, a day before the first game of the Korean Series, `I'm a coach who finished second a lot. have a thirst for victory"Winning is from heaven. Rather than being greedy, I'll play well with the players," he said of his determination.

This article was translated by Naver AI translator.